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Group L · Matchday 1 · SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles · Jun 17, 23:00 UTC
🇬🇭 Ghanavs🇵🇦 Panama
42.5%draw 27.6%29.9%
Expected goals: GHA 1.41 · PAN 1.30
| Source | GHA win | Draw | PAN win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.6% | 27.7% | 33.7% |
| Market (Pinnacle) | 44.2% | 27.6% | 28.2% |
| Blend (published) | 42.5% | 27.6% | 29.9% |
Scoreline probabilities
Dixon-Coles adjusted Poisson model — rows GHA, columns PAN
0123450
7.6%
6.8%
5.0%
2.2%
0.7%
19.2%
13.2%
7.0%
3.1%
1.0%
27.3%
9.5%
5.6%
2.2%
0.7%
33.4%
4.4%
2.9%
1.1%
41.2%
1.6%
1.0%
51–1 13.2%2–1 9.5%1–0 9.2%0–0 7.6%2–0 7.3%
Model factors
How each team's effective rating is built
🇬🇭GHAGhana1735effective
- Pre-tournament Elo
- 1735
- In-tournament form (Elo Δ)
- 0.0
- Injury penalty
- 0
No injury concerns — full-strength squad assumed. Key players: Mohammed Kudus, Antoine Semenyo, Thomas Partey.
🇵🇦PANPanama1720effective
- Pre-tournament Elo
- 1720
- In-tournament form (Elo Δ)
- 0.0
- Injury penalty
- 0
No injury concerns — full-strength squad assumed. Key players: Adalberto Carrasquilla, Michael Murillo, José Fajardo.