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Group J · Matchday 2 · MetLife Stadium, New York/New Jersey · Jun 23, 03:00 UTC
🇯🇴 Jordanvs🇩🇿 Algeria
15.5%draw 22.5%62.0%
Expected goals: JOR 0.94 · ALG 1.96
| Source | JOR win | Draw | ALG win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.6% | 23.0% | 60.3% |
| Market (Pinnacle) | 15.0% | 22.3% | 62.7% |
| Blend (published) | 15.5% | 22.5% | 62.0% |
Scoreline probabilities
Dixon-Coles adjusted Poisson model — rows JOR, columns ALG
0123450
6.2%
10.3%
10.9%
7.1%
3.5%
1.4%
14.1%
10.7%
10.2%
6.7%
3.3%
1.3%
22.3%
4.4%
4.6%
3.1%
1.5%
0.6%
30.7%
1.4%
1.4%
0.9%
450–2 10.9%1–1 10.7%0–1 10.3%1–2 10.2%0–3 7.1%
Model factors
How each team's effective rating is built
🇯🇴JORJordan1650effective
- Pre-tournament Elo
- 1650
- In-tournament form (Elo Δ)
- 0.0
- Injury penalty
- 0
No injury concerns — full-strength squad assumed. Key players: Mousa Al-Taamari, Yazan Al-Naimat, Ali Olwan.
🇩🇿ALGAlgeria1790effective
- Pre-tournament Elo
- 1790
- In-tournament form (Elo Δ)
- 0.0
- Injury penalty
- 0
No injury concerns — full-strength squad assumed. Key players: Riyad Mahrez, Amine Gouiri, Houssem Aouar.