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Group C · Matchday 2 · BMO Field, Toronto · Jun 20, 00:30 UTC
🇧🇷 Brazilvs🇭🇹 Haiti
95.8%draw 3.4%0.8%
Expected goals: BRA 4.42 · HAI 0.42
Scoreline probabilities
Dixon-Coles adjusted Poisson model — rows BRA, columns HAI
0123450
0.9%
13.5%
1.6%
28.1%
3.4%
0.7%
311.9%
4.9%
1.0%
413.1%
5.5%
1.1%
511.6%
4.8%
1.0%
4–0 13.1%3–0 11.9%5–0 11.6%6–0 8.5%2–0 8.1%
Model factors
How each team's effective rating is built
🇧🇷BRABrazil2040effective
- Pre-tournament Elo
- 2040
- In-tournament form (Elo Δ)
- 0.0
- Injury penalty
- 0
No injury concerns — full-strength squad assumed. Key players: Vinícius Júnior, Rodrygo, Alisson.
🇭🇹HAIHaiti1590effective
- Pre-tournament Elo
- 1590
- In-tournament form (Elo Δ)
- 0.0
- Injury penalty
- 0
No injury concerns — full-strength squad assumed. Key players: Danley Jean Jacques, Frantzdy Pierrot, Duckens Nazon.