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Group B · Matchday 2 · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia · Jun 18, 19:00 UTC
🇨🇭 Switzerlandvs🇧🇦 Bosnia & Herzegovina
57.9%draw 23.8%18.3%
Expected goals: SUI 1.79 · BIH 1.03
| Source | SUI win | Draw | BIH win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.3% | 25.0% | 20.7% |
| Market (Pinnacle) | 59.4% | 23.3% | 17.3% |
| Blend (published) | 57.9% | 23.8% | 18.3% |
Scoreline probabilities
Dixon-Coles adjusted Poisson model — rows SUI, columns BIH
0123450
6.6%
4.7%
2.8%
1.0%
110.5%
11.3%
5.0%
1.7%
210.2%
10.5%
4.8%
1.5%
36.1%
6.2%
3.2%
1.0%
42.7%
2.8%
1.4%
51.0%
1.0%
0.5%
1–1 11.3%2–1 10.5%1–0 10.5%2–0 10.2%0–0 6.6%
Model factors
How each team's effective rating is built
🇨🇭SUISwitzerland1860effective
- Pre-tournament Elo
- 1860
- In-tournament form (Elo Δ)
- 0.0
- Injury penalty
- 0
No injury concerns — full-strength squad assumed. Key players: Granit Xhaka, Manuel Akanji, Breel Embolo.
🇧🇦BIHBosnia & Herzegovina1754effective
- Pre-tournament Elo
- 1750
- In-tournament form (Elo Δ)
- +4.3
- Injury penalty
- 0
No injury concerns — full-strength squad assumed. Key players: Edin Džeko, Ermedin Demirović, Sead Kolašinac.