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Group A · Matchday 1 · MetLife Stadium, New York/New Jersey · Jun 12, 02:00 UTC
🇰🇷 South Korea2–1🇨🇿 Czechia
Full time. This result has been folded into both teams' Elo ratings — the probabilities below are the model's pre-match view.
Scoreline probabilities
Dixon-Coles adjusted Poisson model — rows KOR, columns CZE
0123450
8.8%
8.0%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
19.9%
13.6%
7.2%
2.8%
0.8%
27.6%
8.8%
5.1%
1.9%
0.6%
33.6%
4.1%
2.4%
0.9%
41.2%
1.4%
0.8%
51–1 13.6%1–0 9.9%0–0 8.8%2–1 8.8%0–1 8.0%
Model factors
How each team's effective rating is built
🇰🇷KORSouth Korea1821effective
- Pre-tournament Elo
- 1795
- In-tournament form (Elo Δ)
- +26.1
- Injury penalty
- 0
No injury concerns — full-strength squad assumed. Key players: Son Heung-min, Lee Kang-in, Kim Min-jae.
🇨🇿CZECzechia1784effective
- Pre-tournament Elo
- 1810
- In-tournament form (Elo Δ)
- -26.1
- Injury penalty
- 0
No injury concerns — full-strength squad assumed. Key players: Patrik Schick, Tomáš Souček, Antonín Barák.